https://reader.elsevier.com/reader/sd/p ... 0213164837
Thanks Robert
as always I enjoy your way of thinking and participation in any given conversation.
The link above is the foundation for my skepticism for the lab leak theory.
It shows that there is a low likelihood for the possibility of an unnatural origin for Covid 19 or SARS Cov2 that the genomes, the phylogeny suggests the likely probability SARS Cov2 is zoonotic.
I think that Bayesian probability as applicable to this topic is an important part of the discovery of covid origins. The gain of function reasoning seems to enhance the the lab leak claim. Plausibility is not Probability. Plausibility enhances the sinister nature of a closed society such as China. Weaponizing a virus certainly is something governments and militaries do but I am hard pressed to accept that aspect of the current situation. (I’m assuming a military component as... if it was gain of function what else then would be the function of a unnatural virus?). To blame the lab as a source leak would also indicate that the lab was a sloppy operation. If that is the case then probability would indicate sloppiness within the management of other laboratories operating around the world. Yet... only the Wuhan China lab? Doesn’t make a hole lot of sense.
To be fair I am not writing off the possibility of a lab leak, I’m just thinking about probability.
I’ve made no secret of the absolute disgust I have for former president shit for brains but it is not just his acolytes here in the U.S., There are the ScoMo’s of your country as well. Let’s not forget that Murdoch owned media’s infest people with rubbish information on a global scale. ( not trying to distract or straw man the conversation) Relying authoritatively on the science for me isn’t a path to follow but it does suggest guidelines that are mostly harmless, the virus is the source of harm. Where then is the source of the virus? My link suggested a strong probability of bats and raccoon dogs. This relationship is demonstrated phylogenetically.
Chris wondered whether I am exhausted from FPSfB an the pandemic, I’m not. In fact I have never been doing better than I am now. In part because of the challenges to my thinking people like you instill, party by the natural development of my own thinking, increasing economic stability, friends and family, plain good living, learning to do the right things and doing them.
Living life not just existing. Doing...not being done.
I can change my mind about the lab leak theory any time the probability is clearly demonstrated, I haven’t seen the probability yet.
Geo is one of my favorite people of whom I’ve never met
I wouldn’t wish Covid on you brother, take it seriously and I am wishing you the best for there’s little else I am able to do for you except prayer
, would you like that Geo? Me a devoted atheist to pray for you a fellow atheist? I’m honestly laughing to myself but get well soon man, don’t fear the reaper.
Time to get ready for the Big Game... Rams vs, Bengals... no mask, no distancing. my guidance... a four pack of tall boy beers, a pack of smokes and a hunger for chicken wings, potato salad, shrimp cocktails, and pizzapie with anchovies
but I like it