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Re: Trump Watch

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Umair Haque is an incisive commentator on Trump, writing at https://medium.com/@umairh

Here is an interesting piece from last month that provides an important analysis.
Umair Haque wrote:How Donald Trump Brought Mass Death to America
Do Americans Really Get How Catastrophically Trump Failed Them on Covid?
umair haque
Sep 21 · 8 min read
A chart of projected Covid Deaths in America: a predicted 378,000 dead by January 1, 2021
Photo Credit: IHME
It almost seems like a lifetime ago, given the untimely and tragic passing of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. And yet, as the U.S. approaches the grim milestone of 200,000 Covid deaths, it must be understood and carefully considered just how badly Donald Trump’s White House failed on Covid.
The story that’s emerging isn’t one of incompetence, bumbling ineptitude, but something far worse. Malign indifference. Simply letting hundreds of thousands die.
Americans appear paralysed, literally in shock, by what’s happened to their country. Which is understandable. But they are going to need to recover their wits if they want to save their democracy. And to do that, they are going to have to come face to face with what authoritarianism really is: an indifference to any kind of civilised values of dignity, care, concern, humanity. That is what they risk becoming in their paralysis. And that kind of monstrosity is exemplified best, perhaps, by the of Trump and Covid.
The story that we know now begins like this. While Covid was making its way to America’s shores, it had ample time to prepare. It was one of the last countries to be hit by Covid. And during those critical months and weeks, nothing — let me repeat — nothing was done.
But nothing was not done for a reason: the Trump Administration. It recently emerged that the Postal Service had a plan to send facemasks to every American. That is precisely the kind of thing that would and should have happened in a sane and rational country. And it was the Trump Administration that stopped this plan dead in its tracks.
It’s impossible to overstate what a difference that made. “We’ll never know the impact” is dead wrong. It’s quite easy to calculate the impact of such a thing. In nations that put such policies in place — attacking Covid early and hard, by making people wear masks, the death toll was one to two orders of magnitude less than it was in America.
Remember, pandemics spread exponentially. That is why if you nip them in the bud, before exponential growth accelerates — that is your best chance of stopping them. It is why some nations have been spectacularly successful — South Korea, Vietnam, New Zealand — and some, like America, have had the world’s worst outcomes.
So. Let me sum that up. There was actually a plan to do something about Covid — a plan that could have made a crucial difference. But Donald Trump deep-sixed it. It is no overstatement to say that he is responsible for mass death, not in an abstract way, but in a direct one. His choice resulted in the exponential growth of a lethal pandemic.
Now, the Post Office’s plan was to send five reusable facemasks to Americans. Doesn’t sound like a lot. But it could have been built on, as emergent plans in emergencies often are. America could have found itself in a situation like this: the Postal Service sent Americans facemasks every week, and the government mandating wearing them, in any public place.
That alone, epidemiologists suggest, would have massively reduced the incidence of Covid. Dropping deaths, probably, from the 200,000 they’re at to half that — and that’s in a conservative scenario.
But that would have taken a President who was sane, rational, and most all, not a moral black hole. Unfortunately for Americans, they were about to find out what human monstrosity means, the hard way.
The next chapter in the emerging story goes like this. Publicly, Trump minimised Covid’s impact. He denied it was a problem, pretended it wouldn’t be a big deal, and then, finally, told people to drink bleach and inject Lysol. But privately, Trump knew something very, very different. He said — literally — “This is deadly stuff.” How deadly? He called it a “great and powerful plague.” And he didn’t just know how lethal it was. He knew how viral it was, too. He noted that it’s “so easily transmissible, you wouldn’t even believe it.”
In other words, Trump knew. All that’s on tape, by the way, thanks to Bob Woodward.
And now we come to a part of the story that’s hard to tell, at least to Americans. Americans have no real experience with their leaders telling them Big Lies that result in their own deaths. They have experience in just the opposite: their leaders telling them Big Lies that result in the deaths of poor, dirty brown people, somewhere across a globe they’ve never visited and don’t know. Think of Bush and Iraq having WMDs, or the whole idea of the Cold War, that communism was some kind of global threat, so America needed to install dictators everywhere from Latin America to Africa. Those were all Big Lies. But Americans — at least many of them — still believe them.
And so they find it almost impossible to process the scale and impact of Trump’s Biggest Lie so far: that Covid wasn’t a big deal. That is why you barely see anything written on this subject now, apart from a brief initial burst of outrage. That is a sociocultural sign that Americans are simply not processing, understanding, taking in what really happened.
What really happened was simple, but so horrific that it’s almost impossible to believe. Trump knew in great detail just how deadly Covid was. And he told Americans precisely the opposite story. And then he acted to put in place policies that reflected his lie, like stopping facemasks being distributed, not mandating wearing them, refusing to wear one himself.
To this day, America has no Covid policy or strategy. That is why the death toll is simply skyrocketing every single day, reaching astonishing numbers. It took just 10 days for America to go from 190,000 deaths to 200,000 — deaths have stabilised at about 1,000 per day. 1,000 people a day are needlessly dying from coronavirus in America. Really think about how many people that is.
So what we know now is that there wasn’t a national-level strategy for Coronavirus for a reason: not because Trump was incompetent, stupid, misinformed, or foolish. But for a reason that almost impossible to fully process, even if you say you believe it. Because Trump knew — but didn’t care. Care enough to take the slightest action to save hundreds of thousands of lives. In fact, he went above and beyond not caring. He went in the other direction, which was to try and cover up his inaction with lies.
What the? Like I said, that’s almost impossible to process. Because it is human monstrosity on the lowest level possible. Your garden variety thief? Even your average…serial killer? They’re nothing compared to this moral vacuum. Really. They might hurt or kill a few people. But hundreds of thousands? Left to die?
That’s an act so profoundly incredible that we don’t have a word to even describe it. Negligence — the failure to care properly for something — is the only one there is, but that falls so far short it might as well barely exist at all. Negligence is something you charge a house builder or doctor with, maybe. But a head of state?
And yet that’s precisely the magnitude of this failure. A head of state has at least this responsibility: not to simply shrug and walk away from catastrophe. Then there’s this one: not to grin and lie about catastrophe. My friend, that is the lowest of all possible bars. When a head of state can get away with such things, then a bitter truth must be understood. You are not really living in a democracy anymore. In a democracy, a leader that fails at this most set of responsibilities — and remains in office — is above…everything. The moral law, basic accountability, the fundamental ideas of equality and truth and decency.
The only kinds of societies in which such awful failings are tolerated are authoritarian states, really. And in that sense, America is a pre-authoritarian state. Americans seem to have shrugged and given up on all this. They don’t seem to understand — or even care to understand — the unbelievable scale and depth of Trump’s failure on Covid.
The reasons for that are both complex and straightforward. America is still a racist and classist country, and Covid hit the poor and minorities hardest. America is also the home of the Darwinian logic of self-reliance — the strong should survive, and the weak perish, and so Americans have had a cultural tendency not to care about Covid the way that nearly every other country on earth has.
Still, whatever the reasons, to the rest of the world, the final chapter of the story looks like this. And then he gets away with it. Chapter one, Trump knows — but he lies — about how deadly Covid is. Chapter two, he deep-sixes any attempt to contain the pandemic, and thwarts any possibility of a national strategy. Chapter three, he gets away with it.
In any other developed nation, by now, a leader would have been held accountable for such crass negligence. The streets in the capital would be one giant protest, for months on end, until the leader stepped down. (Yes, some Americans are protesting. And I applaud them. But it isn’t close enough yet to a mass movement, with the stamina to challenge Trump.) But when faced with this improbable and horrific fact — Trump lied, and 200,000 died — Americans seem to be paralyzed. Resigned.
Plenty of leaders have gotten away with terrible things. Stalin, Mao, Saddam — the list is endless. But thanks to its misplaced feeling of exceptionalism, Americans think of themselves as above such nations. They look down their noses at such countries. But the truth is they have become one. A place where an authoritarian’s negligence results in mass death — and terrorized, traumatized, timid, fearful people cannot hold him accountable for it, and so he simply gets away with it. Just like Russians, Chinese, Iraqis, Americans cannot really fully process the scale of the horror — a kind of denial and wilful ignorance kicks in, even among the good people. They become a silent majority this way — because who can really sit down and think the thought: “hundred of thousands of people died just because of one man’s maliciousness?” It’s too terrible to bear.
And yet it must be borne, if a nation is to rouse itself from the slumber of apathy. In this way, Americans have become arrogant people. They think they could never become a place where mass death happened, just because an authoritarian led them to it — that only happened in those other dirty, poor countries. But unfortunately, they are now a country like that. Two hundred thousand Americans are dead. A thousand die a day. That’s another hundred thousand by the end of the year. All because — we now know — of Donald Trump’s malicious indifference. No ground should be given on this score. Democracy dies with the tolerance and silent acceptance of abuses of power this grave, this vast, this unbelievable.
I don’t know how to wake Americans up from their paralysis. But I hope they do wake up, en masse. Because until then, they’re going to keep living this nightmare.
Umair
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Re: Trump Watch

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DWill wrote: Travel bans would be just one measure a country might use to combat a disease entering. Trump's had significant holes, but my point is that he put it into effect even before Fauci said we had a serious problem. So it might have been expected that Trump was just getting started. What happened? It would seem at first glance like an opportunity to show strong leadership, one that could help him win an election. Was it his fear that responding with restrictions would damage the economy that he saw as his great achievement, that held him back? Or was it that Trump projected his own fear of appearing weak and vulnerable onto the entire country? He was an early convert to Norman Vincent Peale's power of positive thinking. I'm inclined to think that the work of fighting the virus just wasn't up his alley. The work required close cooperation with many other people from both parties and implied the sharing of credit--something Trump hates to do. Detail work requiring patience and incremental progress doesn't allow the grand gestures Trump craves. The whole task probably bored him.
I think it was this and more. Showing concern, taking precautions against possible infections, leading by example in terms wearing a mask in public and such, grinds against Trump's doctrine of toxic masculinity. Real men don't wear masks and caution people to protect themselves and show concern about not transmitting disease to others--no, that just runs counter to Trump's idea that a real man does not act like such a pantywaisted, little simp. He's not here to be our little den mother, damn it! Suck it up!

When Trump contracted the disease himself, he used it to show how strong and tough he is. "Look at me! I had the virus and yet here I am as fit as ever and ready to get back to work after three days!! Nobody else has ever been able to do that! Doctors were amazed!" There is a true account that he actually was going to go before the cameras wearing a Superman shirt which someone managed to stop it. And never a word about those who have died and who are preparing to die. He's made covid all about him. It's HIS personal struggle and he's conquered it!!! Never mind that he's made half the White House sick. If any of them die, don't expect Donald Trump to care. They weren't strong like him!!! Never mind that he has round-the-clock medical care and every medicine--no matter how rare or expensive--will be supplied to him to keep him alive at all costs. What matters is that having covid and surviving it proves he is of superior genetic stock. He's the Trump-N-ator!! Meanwhile Joe Biden is everything about masculinity that Trump hates: he wears a mask, he shows concern, he strives to heal the nation like some fucking faggot in nurse's drag. He's weak. He is not a man.

Again, this was something Mary Trump warned us about concerning Trump's character. When he watched his father mercilessly berate his older brother into an early grave, he learned never to let your true feelings show. A real man has no feelings. A real man does what must be done and never lets sentimentality cloud his judgment. So, Trump joined his father is tearing his brother down. He learned the power of taunting, baiting, jeering, taking pleasure in others' misfortunes and not caring what happens to anyone else. It all proves his own genetic superiority.
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Re: Trump Watch

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DB Roy wrote:
I think it was this and more. Showing concern, taking precautions against possible infections, leading by example in terms wearing a mask in public and such, grinds against Trump's doctrine of toxic masculinity. Real men don't wear masks and caution people to protect themselves and show concern about not transmitting disease to others--no, that just runs counter to Trump's idea that a real man does not act like such a pantywaisted, little simp. He's not here to be our little den mother, damn it! Suck it up!
The germ-phobic president who flouts simple means of preventing virus spread; the president who acknowledged to Bob Woodward that coronavirus was a major threat, yet at many junctures afterwards told Americans that it was not--this makes no sense at all. It might be you're right, that the ethos he inherited from Fred Sr.--to be a "killer" in every situation, no matter the evidence stacked up against him--is really the only way Trump knows how to conduct himself. An inflexible pattern of behavior is what characterizes personality disorder, and that's what we have before us in Donald Trump.
When Trump contracted the disease himself, he used it to show how strong and tough he is. "Look at me! I had the virus and yet here I am as fit as ever and ready to g0 back to work after three days!! Nobody else has ever been able to do that! Doctors were amazed!" There is a true account that he actually was going to go before the cameras wearing a Superman shirt which someone managed to stop it. And never a word about those who have died and who are preparing to die. He's made covid all about him. It's HIS personal struggle and he's conquered it!!! Never mind that he's made half the White House sick. If any of them die, don't expect Donald Trump to care. They weren't strong like him!!! Never mind that he has round-the-clock medical care and every medicine--no matter how rare or expensive--will be supplied to him to keep him alive at all costs. What matters is that having covid and surviving it proves he is of superior genetic stock. He's the Trump-N-ator!! Meanwhile Joe Biden is everything about masculinity that Trump hates: he wears a mask, he shows concern, he strives to heal the nation like some fucking faggot in nurse's drag. He's weak. He is not a man.
Remember "I get it now"?, which were among Trump's first words from Walter Reed? Some folks, mistakenly assuming a normal psychology in Trump, thought he had reflected on his past actions and would emerge from his illness with a new appreciation of the care he needed to show toward the country suffering so badly from covid. But before long it was, "Don't let the virus dominate your life," with the clear message what he had done (with super-elite medical care, as you say), all could do.
Again, this was something Mary Trump warned us about concerning Trump's character. When he watched his father mercilessly berate his older brother into an early grave, he learned never to let your true feelings show. A real man has no feelings. A real man does what must be done and never lets sentimentality cloud his judgment. So, Trump joined his father is tearing his brother down. He learned the power of taunting, baiting, jeering, taking pleasure in others' misfortunes and not caring what happens to anyone else. It all proves his own genetic superiority.
His father appears to have given him a good base in sociopathic business practices. It was Roy Cohn who schooled Trump in the specific tactics he would need to win in the high-stakes world of Manhattan real estate. Anyway, both did their jobs well.
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Re: Trump Watch

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Umair Haque wrote: they are going to have to come face to face with what authoritarianism really is: an indifference to any kind of civilised values of dignity, care, concern, humanity. That is what they risk becoming in their paralysis.
I thought this was an insightful and rousing discussion, but I also want to take issue with some parts of it. Starting with the fact that the principle opposed to those civilised values is much more complex than simply authoritarianism as if that is chosen for its own sake. No one I know gives away all that he or she has, just because of caring and concern. There are opposing considerations of prudence, management and simple selfish preoccupation. And if you think about it, fascism is an institutional version of these. The trains run on time. People are expected to conform and uphold the solidarity of the group vs other groups. Some normative version of social values is promoted for all to accept. The venerable film of the classroom experiment in fascism "The Wave" demonstrated how it holds the promise of effectiveness. The students did their homework, by God.
It recently emerged that the Postal Service had a plan to send facemasks to every American. That is precisely the kind of thing that would and should have happened in a sane and rational country. And it was the Trump Administration that stopped this plan dead in its tracks.

Now, the Post Office’s plan was to send five reusable facemasks to Americans. Doesn’t sound like a lot. But it could have been built on, as emergent plans in emergencies often are. America could have found itself in a situation like this: the Postal Service sent Americans facemasks every week, and the government mandating wearing them, in any public place.
That alone, epidemiologists suggest, would have massively reduced the incidence of Covid. Dropping deaths, probably, from the 200,000 they’re at to half that — and that’s in a conservative scenario.
I have not heard of this. My understanding was that facemasks were in short supply - too short to provide them to all. Whenever it was that Trump failed to distribute them, they would have been available in stores by then, and not in shortage at the hospitals. So we are really talking about the failure to mandate.
Remember, pandemics spread exponentially. That is why if you nip them in the bud, before exponential growth accelerates — that is your best chance of stopping them. It is why some nations have been spectacularly successful — South Korea, Vietnam, New Zealand — and some, like America, have had the world’s worst outcomes.
Yes, understanding science is critical to making democracy function effectively. I tried to get a group of high schoolers to understand the difference between exponential and linear growth, but the curriculum made us move on before the point could sink in for most. This is, of course, a sin and a crime. If I had known the pandemic was coming I would have slowed down and done extra processing despite the curriculum.

Fascism's disdain for science is well known. But this is a good time to stop and think what is going on. People's need for singular authority, concentrated into purest form as support for some megalomaniac who can only desire more power, shoves aside whatever other priorities might appear to conflict. It happens in religion, it happens in politics. When reason itself takes a back seat to the apparent priorities of the group, then the train is going to derail. QAnon Nation is but a step away.
To this day, America has no Covid policy or strategy. That is why the death toll is simply skyrocketing every single day, reaching astonishing numbers. It took just 10 days for America to go from 190,000 deaths to 200,000 — deaths have stabilised at about 1,000 per day. 1,000 people a day are needlessly dying from coronavirus in America. Really think about how many people that is.
So what we know now is that there wasn’t a national-level strategy for Coronavirus for a reason: not because Trump was incompetent, stupid, misinformed, or foolish. But for a reason that almost impossible to fully process, even if you say you believe it. Because Trump knew — but didn’t care.
I think this is oversimplified. Trump's role was certainly catastrophic. But a big reason why America has no Covid strategy is that it is a big nation with a lot of centrifugal forces pulling people in different directions, so that federalist decentralization has become built in to the ideologies and power structures. And it might be worth noting that this system is exactly the one imposed by the US on West Germany after WWII as a protection against fascism.
The states have strategies. There are public health officials and tripwires for various levels of openings and closings. Granted it is far more decentralized than would be optimal for good policy, but as we speak, no state has failed to fail, so to speak. Just as Europe's policies might have been more effective if they were all centralized, coordinated and more uniform, so the US failure to coordinate has weaknesses but is also natural and not so obviously at great fault.
The only kinds of societies in which such awful failings are tolerated are authoritarian states, really. And in that sense, America is a pre-authoritarian state. Americans seem to have shrugged and given up on all this. They don’t seem to understand — or even care to understand — the unbelievable scale and depth of Trump’s failure on Covid.
The reasons for that are both complex and straightforward. America is still a racist and classist country, and Covid hit the poor and minorities hardest. America is also the home of the Darwinian logic of self-reliance — the strong should survive, and the weak perish, and so Americans have had a cultural tendency not to care about Covid the way that nearly every other country on earth has.
Here is, I think, the heart of Haque's argument and the most important issue to think through. Haque conspicuously left out the group most heavily afflicted by Covid and the one that is most often mentioned by people who are arguing that Covid is not that terrible, namely the old. Yes, America is still invested in the logic of self-reliance, but that is not all about racism and the expendability of the working class. It is also about, well, self-reliance. If the old cannot keep up, then too bad. If the poor cannot afford quality health care, then let them get master's degrees, like they are supposed to.

This is not, fundamentally, about authoritarianism. But it is about failure to exercise care for others. America does not just have a history of using the poor for the benefit of the rich, it also has a history of vast and unprecedented opportunity. Land for anyone, to put it in the simplest possible terms. We have recently been asked to consider the collateral damage on Native Americans and African-Americans, and that is nothing to sneeze at. It has infected our ability to look with objectivity on straightforward policy choices that other countries have no trouble with. But at the core, Americans are heavily invested in the myth that anyone can make it with determination and grit. We really have to work on accommodating the competing principles that often get shoved aside by this myth, but it is also a good baby to keep as we throw out the bathwater.
Plenty of leaders have gotten away with terrible things. Stalin, Mao, Saddam — the list is endless. But thanks to its misplaced feeling of exceptionalism, Americans think of themselves as above such nations. They look down their noses at such countries. But the truth is they have become one. A place where an authoritarian’s negligence results in mass death — and terrorized, traumatized, timid, fearful people cannot hold him accountable for it, and so he simply gets away with it. Just like Russians, Chinese, Iraqis, Americans cannot really fully process the scale of the horror — a kind of denial and wilful ignorance kicks in, even among the good people. They become a silent majority this way — because who can really sit down and think the thought: “hundred of thousands of people died just because of one man’s maliciousness?” It’s too terrible to bear.
And yet it must be borne, if a nation is to rouse itself from the slumber of apathy. In this way, Americans have become arrogant people. They think they could never become a place where mass death happened, just because an authoritarian led them to it — that only happened in those other dirty, poor countries. But unfortunately, they are now a country like that. Two hundred thousand Americans are dead. A thousand die a day. That’s another hundred thousand by the end of the year. All because — we now know — of Donald Trump’s malicious indifference. No ground should be given on this score. Democracy dies with the tolerance and silent acceptance of abuses of power this grave, this vast, this unbelievable.
One man's slumber of apathy is another man's focus on the things they can realistically manage. I agree with Haque's conclusion that we screwed up royally on Covid. But I believe it because of the facts that we got wrong, and the elevation of symbolism above pragmatism. Not because the alternative principle of caring for others must be elevated to determinative status.

I am all for caring - I think the disdain for the lives of the old was and is barbaric. I think it is shocking, and more than a little fascist, how the right wing has blithely ignored the lives of their fellow citizens on the excuse that "it mainly kills old people." But I am also deeply suspicious of ideologies that say we must bear any burden for the alleviation of anyone's suffering. My priority would be on preventing either principle - individual liberty vs. social support - from dictating policy in disregard for the facts.
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Re: Trump Watch

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Trump's Administration, and the evil Barr, have done another good thing, worth saluting.

By going after Google for exclusive contracts and other means of leveraging its search dominance to gain more dominance, the Administration has put some teeth back into anti-trust enforcement, and restored some balance to the power that comes from network advantages. Let Facebook look to its policies as well. I never thought I would be glad for anything WalMart did, but their development of on-line shopping is almost the only realistic check on Amazon's growing power in retail.
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Re: Trump Watch

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Jinx.

Like most superstition, it's a variety of acausal significance, as Jung would have it. Meaning nobody in their right mind believes that a simple prediction, especially if based on the polls, could cause a karmic backlash that causes the election to tilt differently than it would have. But the hint of a possible mysterious source of influence is a warning to our unreason, a warning against arrogance. Against thinking that, because you know something about how things work, you can go on with your privilege and ignore those who might be run over by the steamroller you think you are riding.

So it's worth thinking a little in advance about who we should not run over if the Democratic Party wins.

First, we should not indulge in the same "because we can" grasping that has been so offensive from the Republicans. If our guy is caught in a crime (even perjury about sex) let him take the consequences. Let the course of justice follow impartial norms, rather than quietly knifing the uncooperative and freeing the henchmen. Rule of law is not to be trifled with. I'm going to go so far as to say that the Supreme Court should be let alone, or reformed on non-partisan lines.

Gerrymandering could well be dismantled, but on a non-partisan basis. We already have a rule that equal protection under the law requires that Congressional districts be roughly equal in size. The same principle can be extended to say it must be balanced, subject to equal populations, by income and education or at least put in coherent units of common economic interest. Assigning the job of balance to non-partisan commissions would be good.

There's a limit to avoiding taking advantage of opportunities for power, but it should be defensive rather than acquisitive. (By which I mean, a reasonable degree of procedural fairness is more important than forcing what we see as equitable outcomes, because everybody wants equity for their own case, but we are remarkably good at ignoring it for others.) We do not need to pack the court even over a reversal of Roe v Wade, but if the Supreme Court goes so far as to declare abortion to be murder, then self-defense requires that the court be at least given a composition reflecting the principles of the population as a whole. Reversing Roe v. Wade would devolve the issue to the people, but imposing limits on what the majority can legislate requires that the underlying rationale be one that the bulk of the population can agree to accept.

Likewise, there is talk of rolling back the law on Interstate Commerce to the situation before the 1930s when the Supreme Court held that New Deal programs were unconstitutional by virtue of being Federal. A constitutional amendment might be the best solution, but packing the court to save Social Security, Medicare and even Obamacare should not be ruled out.

Second, we need to learn to respect traditional values. Even if we don't agree with them, or we don't agree on how to implement them, a measure of mutual respect and even empathy can go a long way toward creating solutions that honor them. There is always a question of where to draw the line - some would say laws against mixed race marriage are just about "traditional values". But I am sure we can draw it much more respectfully than we have been. My general rule is to give everyone the same level of respect that I would give my boss, or other person who has power over me. I fear I broke that rule with KindaSkolarly on more than one occasion, but I tried mightily to frame things in terms of particular behaviors and not to characterize him as a person.

That means not insulting women who stay home to be homemakers (or men who do) or people who are into guns. It means a clear system of immigration control until such time as a clear majority of the population rejects that, and not accepting insults and dehumanization of those opposing immigration any more than we would of those seeking to immigrate.

And finally, the educated classes need to look out for those who are marginalized by economic trends. Serious thought needs to be given to developing employment for those who are not academically or technologically inclined. Incentives, like the Earned Income Tax Credit, are important and so are training opportunities to upgrade vital skills that might go neglected by the marketplace. Software to make services more efficient can be fostered by the government and not turned over free of obligations to corporations. (I list specific examples to illustrate the general area of priority rather than to raise these specific items as requirements.)

Instead of rejecting superstition as a simple violation of rationality, we need to learn to listen to it, and understand what it is telling us about our deep motivations and allegiances. Don't give it the last word, but think about why it is there, in a teleological framework rather than an explanatory framework. In other words, think about what values and feelings it represents and communicates, rather than stopping with an evaluation of its explanatory correctness.
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Re: Trump Watch

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In less than 4 days the world will have witnessed what America thinks about current politics.

The removal of PSfB will be cheered on by people all over the world. But those cheers aren’t guaranteed to happen. We still have to vote PSfB out. No guarantee of that either. Metaphorically it’s perfect because in life there’s no reason to expect guaranteed outcomes.

Polling as it is, is just a series of what if’s. Biden-Harris could win by a slim margin or a blowout. The exact same can be written for PSfB.

So Harry is describing the possibility of ‘if’s’ .

I’m to old to fear the “if’s’ threat. I’m also inclined to think that ‘if’ Biden-Harris wins, that ‘if’ the Democratic Party wins a congressional majority there will be much work to be done just unfucking the bureaucratic degradation wrought by the Libertarian practices of the current regime. I’m also inclined to think that the Social Security’s secure act 2100 will be a top priority. Covid 19 will certainly be a time killer as well.(its more than just a public health concern). Health Care will be a hotly debated issue and will also be time consuming. DAKA will have its time of debate, reintroduction into the Paris Climate Accord will be the gateway for the U.S. back into a shared leadership role in the myriad issues that have been demeaned by PSfB’s America First austerity.

Packing the Supreme Court is for Biden a nonstarter. The implied alteration of the court is sufficient for the maintenance of the balance of power, checks and balances. The courts conservative majority may be a threat on the surface but it could also mean that cases presented to this new court will require an improved argumentative logic. I don’t at this time fear for Roe v. Wade as I don’t think that there will be a consensus among the public to re-litigate. My caveat is the ‘if’s’ . If Biden-Harris wins that consensus will wither. If PSfB is re-elected Roe v. Wade will be overturned.

Character matters, I think presenting a consistent character along with a correct moral character is what makes a difference. Presenting a barrage of conspiratorial claptrap is an example of constancy but correct moral reasoning is the core essential. A person is their character, when separated some portion of that person is a charade.

To be ‘into something’ like guns for example, is no guarantee against mockery. I grant that mockery may become a cruelty but is it not a truism that sometimes we must be cruel to be kind. I sometimes ‘kid’ in a mocking way but I also do it out of love. It’s a ‘way’ that some people have used to communicate an idea, mockery is not always ideal so it is not the only arrow in the quiver.

I think that the ‘if come’ of a Biden-Harris regime will have its hands full just in dealing with surface level issues. I think that for them they’ll have approximately two years to handle the surface issues in a way that does have a broad consensus and a majority support, 2022 will be here before we know it, there will be the need to maintain the ‘if’s’ of that Democratic majority. Beyond that, there is 2024. In those final two years It will be Biden-Harris’s job to prepare the U.S. for the potential of the first female president, the first who also happens to be nonwhite.

Not a big deal for some people but for others it may be a big deal. I wonder of the ‘if’s’ to come?.
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Re: Trump Watch

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Here is a rather refreshing article from today's Murdoch press in Australia commenting on the US election
Time for America to tip Trump into history’s bin
TROY BRAMSTON
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commen ... c9253afb86

11:00PM NOVEMBER 2, 2020
1307 COMMENTS
Donald Trump is the worst president in US history. Tonight (AEDT), Americans have an opportunity to terminate his chaotic, dysfunctional, divisive, dangerous and degraded administration. While Trump might yet achieve another remarkable election victory, the odds are against him. Americans, we can hope, are wise enough to recognise it is time to bring the curtain down on The Trump Show.

Trump has debased the office of president, divided rather than united the country, and diminished the standing of the US overseas. He has lied thousands of times, deliberately downplayed the threat of COVID-19, withheld aid to Ukraine unless Kiev investigated Joe Biden’s family, and used the presidency to enrich his businesses. He deserved to be impeached.

Nobody should excuse Trump’s unhinged rhetoric or deranged tweets as merely a sideshow. This behaviour should not be normalised. Words matter. Trump boasted about sexually assaulting women with his “grab ’em by the pussy” remark. He called dead American soldiers “losers” and “suckers”. He accused Barack Obama of being “corrupt” and said he should be “locked up”. All this is indefensible.

It underscores Trump’s authoritarian instincts. He admires totalitarians such as Kim Jong-un, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping. He undermines institutions and alliances. He calls the media “the enemy of the people”. He declares the election “rigged”. He supports voter suppression and intimidation tactics. He talks about not accepting the election result and governing beyond the two-term constitutional limit.

There has never been a more chaotic White House. Trump has cycled through more cabinet members and staff than any other president. He is totally inept at running the executive government. It is telling that almost all of those who were fired or quit have turned on Trump and said he is not up to the job. Trump’s defenders once argued that even if you disliked Trump, you could trust the people around him. Well, their verdict has been damning.

Trump has no plan for a second term. The Republican National Convention did not adopt a new platform this year. Trump has almost destroyed the Grand Old Party of Dwight D. Eisenhower, Ronald Reagan and the Bushes. It has become a cult of personality. It is a party of grievances, cultural anxiety and economic insecurity. It has become a haven for white supremacists, xenophobes, protectionists, isolationists and conspiracy theorists.

It is revealing that George W. Bush has not endorsed Trump. Mitt Romney, who courageously voted for impeachment, did not vote for Trump. John McCain’s widow, Cindy, endorsed Biden. In 2016, George H.W. Bush voted for Hillary Clinton. Many Republican governors, congressmen and women, and cabinet members have endorsed Biden. They are sick of the narcissism, malice, dishonesty, ignorance and incompetence.

Like almost any presidential candidate, Biden has flaws. He would be the oldest president. He is not as sharp as he was. But he is lean and fit, and his debate performances showed no cognitive decline. This argument that Biden’s gaffes or stumbles — largely due to his stutter — disqualify him is absurd given Trump’s crazy rantings. And the suggestion Biden has profited from his son’s questionable business dealings has been debunked by The Wall Street Journal.

Biden’s central appeal is to restore normality to the presidency. He campaigns on rebuilding respect for the US abroad and rebuilding traditional alliances. He promises to bring Americans together. He feels compelled to say he will abide by the law and the constitution. He is experienced. He is a moderate centrist who can work across the political divide. He has united Democrats and built a broad coalition of voter support. Biden is a man of compassion, decency and integrity. He is a safe choice for president.

The biggest election issue is COVID-19. Trump’s handling of the pandemic has been the worst of any comparable advanced economy. He said the virus was contained and would go away quickly, then delayed acting, and when he did finally act, his response was catastrophic. He attacked lockdowns, lampooned mask-wearing and ridiculed social distancing. He embraced unproven medical treatments, suggested injecting bleach and endorsed ­advice from dubious medical ­sources.

Most voters believe Trump would not have become infected with the virus if he had taken it more seriously. He has endangered the lives of many Americans. White House gatherings have become superspreader events. A study by Stanford University estimated that 30,000 people have become infected and 700 have died as a result of just 18 Trump rallies. There is no other conclusion: Trump’s rallies are killing people.

Trump is well behind Biden and the odds are he is headed for defeat. None of this should come as a surprise given his utterly disastrous presidency. He has never been a popular president. Most Americans think the country is on the wrong track. Back in February, I wrote that Trump was vulnerable and his re-election was far from assured. Yet Trump would be the first president in almost 30 years not to be re-elected.

Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush are the only presidents since 1932 to win an election and serve a full term but not be re-elected. But Carter and Bush were both decent men and esteem for them has only risen since they left the White House. In sharp contrast, Trump is loathed by most Americans, he has violated presidential norms and conventions, and his policy failures are manifest.

Franklin D. Roosevelt — the greatest president of the 20th century — said the presidency was “pre-eminently a place of moral leadership”.

Trump is not the first president to fail this test but his collective failures dwarf all others. The choice for Americans is clear. They should elect Biden and send Trump to the dustbin of history. It’s the first step towards making America great again.

TROY BRAMSTON, SENIOR WRITER
Troy Bramston is a senior writer and columnist with The Australian and a contributor to Sky News. He is the author or editor of nine books, including Robert Menzies: The Art of Politics, Paul Keating: The Bi...
Last edited by Robert Tulip on Tue Nov 03, 2020 12:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Trump Watch

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Waiting with bated breath. Some of us have likened the 2016 shock and aftereffects to PTSD. That's exaggerated, but still the memory of that morning after remains a painful one. You don't need to have enormous faith in Biden or the Democrats to believe that they give the country a better chance to deal with its pressing problems. Trump gives us no chance at all, only regression.
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Re: Trump Watch

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DWill wrote:Waiting with bated breath.
I'm starting to breathe a little easier now. Biden still leads in Arizona, and now also in Pennsylvania and Georgia. Though the race is very close in these states, it certainly appears that Biden is in a much better position than Trump.

I watched Trump's press conference from the White House last night, wherein he alleges massive voter fraud, and basically tries to throw democracy under the bus to save face, just as he did in 2016. The news media has to constantly remind viewers that these assertions are baseless. Even the FoxNews anchors were saying that there has to be evidence before the courts can take such allegations seriously. Trump's statements last night were appalling and pathetic. What seems apparent to me now is that Trump actually believes the narrative of voter fraud. How else could he could be losing? And herein is the problem with narcissistic personality disorder. But there is a basic flaw in Trump's logic. On the one hand, he praises the gains made in the House, and the fact that Republicans will hold on to the Senate, but somehow his own apparent loss is not possible without massive voter fraud. And, yet, these gains are on the same ballots that he is trying to contest. He wants his cake and to eat it too!
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